:MSCI’s global equities gauge fell on Tuesday with Wall Street weighing and U.S. Treasury yields falling on economic concerns after manufacturing data and ahead of the jobs report, which is expected to impact how fast the Federal Reserve cuts rates.
Oil prices sank on expectations of an imminent deal to resolve a dispute that has halted Libyan production and exports following a UN brokered meeting between rival factions, pushing Brent prices to their lowest in 2024,
Wall Street indexes extended losses after data showed that U.S. manufacturing edged up last month from an eight-month low in July amid some improvement in employment, but the overall trend continued to point to subdued factory activity.
Investors are also waiting for Friday’s August U.S. jobs report, which is expected to help determine whether the Fed cuts rates by 25 basis points or 50 on Sept. 18.
“Investors are wondering are we heading into a recession quicker than was thought or does the Fed have this under control with rate cuts going forward,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut, adding that the manufacturing data “certainly didn’t help.”
Adding to volatility was the fact that many investors were back from summer vacations and a long weekend as U.S. markets were closed for the Labor Day holiday on Monday.
“People haven’t been able to express their nervousness because they haven’t been in the office. Now they’re back at work and it all comes to a head on the first day of trading,” said Pavlik.
On Wall Street, at 11:06 a.m. the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 440.93 points, or 1.06 per cent, to 41,122.35, the S&P 500 lost 80.30 points, or 1.42 per cent, to 5,568.10 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 399.30 points, or 2.25 per cent, to 17,315.10.
MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe fell 9.80 points, or 1.18 per cent, to 823.21 while Europe’s STOXX 600 index fell 1 per cent.
In currencies, the dollar hovered near a two-week high against the euro as traders braced for a data-heavy week, including Friday’s U.S. payrolls report.
Economists are looking for a 160,000 increase in U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) and a dip in the unemployment rate to 4.2 per cent.
July’s jobs data showed the unemployment rate jumped to a near three-year high of 4.3 per cent amid a significant slowdown in hiring. The data, along with a wind-down of yen carry trades, had prompted a global markets selloff and investors have doubled the rate cuts they expect from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, gained 0.16 per cent at 101.82.
The euro was down 0.3 per cent at $1.1038 but against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.84 per cent to 145.67.
The yen strengthened on media reports that cited the Bank of Japan governor reiterating in a document submitted to a government panel on Tuesday that the bank would keep raising interest rates if the economy and inflation performed as currently expected.
U.S. Treasury yields were mostly lower, with the benchmark 10-year note on track to snap a five-session streak of gains, after the soft manufacturing sector data.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 7 basis points to 3.841 per cent, from 3.911 per cent late on Friday while the 30-year bond yield fell 6.6 basis points to 4.1301 per cent.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, fell 5.8 basis points to 3.8693 per cent, from 3.927 per cent late on Friday.
U.S. crude lost 4.13 per cent to $70.51 a barrel and Brent fell to $73.95 per barrel, down 4.59 per cent on the day.
Gold prices eased to their lowest in more than a week pressured by a firm dollar, while investors awaited economic data that could determine the size of U.S. rate cuts.
Spot gold lost 0.85 per cent to $2,478.17 an ounce. U.S. gold futures fell 0.7 per cent to $2,476.30 an ounce.
Source: CNA
