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Tropical rainstorm to drench Gulf Coast as renewed flood threat hits Northeast and Midwest

A tropical threat on the Gulf Coast has a 40% chance for development into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The system, which could currently be considered a tropical rainstorm or tropical disturbance, is likely to bring heavy rain to the central Gulf Coast for days — especially to Louisiana.

The disturbance is expected to move along the coast, but the closer it stays to shore, the less chance it will have to grow into a tropical depression or storm since these weather patterns need time over water to develop, though a change to a more southerly track would give it a chance to gain steam.

A flood watch will go into effect on Wednesday afternoon for portions of Louisiana and Mississippi.

PHOTO: tropics update

This tropical disturbance is expected to produce long duration heavy rainfall and, if it develops into a tropical storm, it would be named Dexter.

Rainfall totals are generally expected to be between 2 and 6 inches, but the National Weather Service is highlighting some localized areas expected to receive as many as 15 inches in the region.

PHOTO: gulf coast rainfall map

Elsewhere, heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday in Ohio, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Maryland and New Jersey, with rainfall rates of potentially more than 2 inches per hour.

In this screen grab from a video, flooding is shown in Petersburg, Virginia, on July 13, 2025.

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A flood watch is in place for central and northern New Jersey, where 1 to 2 inches of rain could fall in a 1-to-3-hour period.

In the Midwest, flash flooding, damaging winds and tornadoes are possible in Illinois, Wisconsin and Michigan on Wednesday, including the cities of Chicago, Milwaukee and Green Bay.

A flood watch is already in place for Green Bay where 2 to 3 inches of rain over a short time span is forecast.

Heavy thunderstorms are also possible Wednesday night from Kansas to northern Missouri.

Source: abc news

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