Snap Insight: Ukraine’s first strike with US long-range missiles is an astute way of testing Russia

That Ukraine targeted facilities in the Bryansk region – west of the embattled Kursk region and in the trilateral border area with Belarus – might be an indication that there are few other worthwhile targets closer to the frontlines.

The use of just six ballistic missiles, albeit in combination with a large number of drones, might be an indication that Ukraine, for now at least, has relatively limited stock of these missiles and cannot commit them in large numbers to individual strikes.

This, of course might change in the coming weeks, including if other countries, like the United Kingdom, France and Germany, give permission for their weapons to be used in a similar way.

TESTING RUSSIA’S REACTION

Ukraine’s first strike and its limited scope are likely also an astute way of testing Russia’s reaction.

President Vladimir Putin signed off yet another update to Russia’s nuclear strategy earlier on Tuesday, lowering the threshold for a nuclear strike. The new policy says any conventional assault on Russia by a non-nuclear power supported by a nuclear power will be considered to be a joint attack.