“Yoon is going to go, whether he likes it or not. The question is the manner of the going and how gracious,” said Steve Vickers, founder of his risk and security consultancy Steve Vickers and Associates.
Should Saturday’s vote fall short of a two-third majority needed to impeach Yoon, lawmakers are likely to double down and schedule another motion, said political science professor Jong Eun Lee.
This means a change in government – likely in favour of the more liberal opposition – is imminent and could spell complications for South Korea’s diplomatic alliances.
“They are far more sympathetic to North Korea and China. So, implications in the military agreements between the United States, Japan and South Korea are certainly exposed,” Vickers told CNA’s Asia Tonight programme.
TRILATERAL PACIFIC ALLIANCE
South Korea is in a three-way security pact with the US and Japan, where they have agreed to hold regular joint exercises, share intelligence and develop a framework for the Indo-Pacific region.
Source: CNA
