RIYADH:Â A surprise deal reached one year ago to mend ties with Iran has paid dividends for Saudi Arabia, largely shielding it from the Israel-Hamas war and related unrest, analysts say.
Though thorns remain in the complex relationship between the Middle East rivals, the rapprochement amounts to a signature diplomatic achievement for Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Saudi Arabia’s hard-charging de facto ruler.
After a turbulent rise to power that saw Prince Mohammed launch a war in Yemen and mount a boycott of Qatar, the 38-year-old has since adopted a more conciliatory approach that culminated in the deal with Iran announced on Mar 10, 2023.
The goal has been to focus on an ambitious domestic economic and social reform drive meant to position Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest crude exporter, for post-oil prosperity – a dream that could collapse if the war raging in Gaza were to engulf the wider region.
So far, Riyadh has managed to stay above the fray while voicing support for the Palestinian cause, in no small part because it is no longer officially at loggerheads with Hamas-backer Tehran.
“Now it is clear how strategic of a choice it was to normalise relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran,” said Saudi analyst Aziz Alghashian.
“They have basically shown that they are not each other’s enemy, even if suspicion will always be there … The relationship has been reframed.”
GAINS AND GAPS
Sunni-majority Saudi Arabia and Shiite-majority Iran have often found themselves on opposing sides of regional conflicts, from Syria to Lebanon and Iraq.
Before last year’s landmark deal, bilateral ties had been severed for seven years – a rupture triggered by attacks on Saudi diplomatic missions in Iran during protests over Riyadh’s execution of Shiite cleric Nimr al-Nimr.
The terms of the rapprochement called for the swift reopening of diplomatic missions and the implementation of security and economic cooperation agreements signed more than two decades ago.
Other benefits soon became clear, such as when – just over a month after the deal was signed – 65 Iranians fled via ferry from war-hit Sudan to the Saudi Red Sea port city of Jeddah, where they were greeted by four newly arrived Iranian diplomats.
The deal also facilitated the return of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, a close Iran ally, to the Arab fold – a previously improbable rehabilitation capped by his attendance at an Arab League summit for the first time in more than a decade.
Yet the promise of the deal has only been partly fulfilled, with no apparent breakthroughs on some lingering disagreements, including over a disputed gas field Saudi Arabia wants to develop jointly with Kuwait.
“The steps taken by the two countries are good, but the agreement still requires many confidence-building measures,” said Huda Raouf, head of the Iranian programme at the Egyptian Center for Strategic Studies in Cairo.
Source: CNA
