SECRECY
Ukraine has sent mixed messages about the timing of its counter-offensive. Defence Minister Oleksii Reznikov posted a video on Sunday showing soldiers putting a finger to their lips and the words: “There will be no announcement about the start.”
Russia’s defence ministry released video of what it said showed several Ukrainian armoured vehicles in a field blowing up after being hit. Reuters geo-located it to near Velyka Novosilka, a village west of Vuhledar in southern Donetsk region, but could not verify the date.
“There is a tough fight going on,” wrote prominent Russian military blogger Semyon Pegov, who writes under the name War Gonzo, saying Ukrainian forces were attacking in the area.
The ministry said Russian forces killed 250 Ukrainian soldiers as well as destroying 16 tanks, three infantry fighting vehicles and 21 armoured combat vehicles. Reuters was not able to verify the figures. Both sides have exaggerated casualties suffered by the other.
Russian Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov, who is in charge of Moscow’s “special military operation” in Ukraine, was in the area at the time of the Ukrainian attack, the ministry said.
Ukrainian presidential adviser Mykhailo Podolyak poured scorn on the report. “Russian news reports have long since become a separate virtual meta-universe,” he tweeted.
The daily report from Ukraine’s General Staff said only that there were 29 combat clashes in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of eastern Ukraine, while Ukraine’s Centre for Strategic Communications said Russia would seek to spread lies.
COUNTER-OFFENSIVE?
Russia now controls at least 18 per cent of internationally recognised Ukrainian territory and has claimed four more regions of Ukraine as Russian territory after annexing Crimea in 2014.
For months, Ukraine has been preparing a fightback which officials in Kyiv and CIA Director William Burns have said will pierce Putin’s hubris.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the Wall Street Journal in an interview published on Saturday that he was ready to launch it, but tempered a forecast of success with a warning that it could take some time and come at a heavy cost.
After seeking tens of billions of dollars of Western weapons to fight Russian forces, the success or failure of the counter-offensive is likely to influence the shape of future Western diplomatic and military support for Ukraine.
Putin sent troops into Ukraine on Feb 24 last year in what the Kremlin expected to be swift operation but its forces suffered a series of defeats and had to move back and regroup in swathes of eastern Ukraine.
For months, tens of thousands of Russian troops have been digging in along a front line that stretches for around 1,000km, bracing for a Ukrainian attack expected to try to cut Russia’s so-called land bridge to the Crimean Peninsula.
The Kremlin says the West is fighting a hybrid war against Russia to sow discord and ultimately carve up its vast natural resources, allegations that Western leaders deny.
Ukraine casts the invasion as an imperial-style land grab by Russia and vows to eject every last Russian soldier.
Source: CNA
