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There’s Biden and there’s Trump. Who else wants to be US president?

But political science professor David Mcuan from Sonoma State University noted that whether Americans would embrace Mr Newsom as leader of the country remains a question mark.

For the past five years, he has been in charge of California, the US state with the most people and the largest economy by far.

But taking that act to an even bigger stage is not without its challenges.

For one, his home state is often used by Republicans to highlight what they call failed left-wing policies, resulting in issues like homelessness and crime.

“So if you’re on the other side, if you’re on Fox News or on the Republican side (or) the Trump side, you’re licking your chops to take this guy on because you think that the visuals of what’s going on in San Francisco or what’s going on in Los Angeles or Los Angeles County, you can use that as important kind of motivators to block this governor,” said Prof Mcuan.

What will the contest come down to?

Whether Mr Biden gets re-elected depends on whether the American people approve of his job done and want to extend his time in office, said Mr Okun.

“If the US economy continues to improve over the coming quarters and they give the Biden administration credit for doing so, he has strong chances of winning in November,” he said.

But if that doesn’t happen and the voters instead focus on immigration issues, then Mr Biden will likely lose, said Mr Okun.

He added that Mr Biden will also triumph if voter focus is directed to Mr Trump’s anti-democratic actions.
 
“For this election, it comes down to which of the two campaigns best frame the narrative,” said Mr Okun.

Assoc Prof Chong said the upcoming presidential and congressional races are likely to be about ensuring that the US middle class gets an equitable share of economic growth.

Still, this could also turn to anger towards ruling elites, as seen in continued support for Mr Trump.

“Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict could affect his support among younger voters,” said Assoc Prof Chong.

“But turnout rates among younger voters tend to be low and foreign policy issues generally get overshadowed by domestic issues unless there is some crisis.”

Source: CNA

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